Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 67.25%. A draw has a probability of 20.3% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.39%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.57%), while for an Alaves win it is 0-1 (4.86%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
67.25% ( 0.45) | 20.34% ( -0.23) | 12.41% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 43.46% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% ( 0.45) | 50.03% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.99% ( 0.41) | 72.01% ( -0.4) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.05% ( 0.28) | 13.95% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.57% ( 0.56) | 41.43% ( -0.55) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.51% ( -0.08) | 49.49% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.69% ( -0.06) | 84.3% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 67.24% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.34% | 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 12.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |