Barcelona3 - 1Benfica
The Match
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Wednesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Benfica |
48.29% ( -0.04) | 22.64% ( 0) | 29.06% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.91% ( 0.01) | 37.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.72% ( 0.01) | 59.28% ( -0.01) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( -0.01) | 15.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.02) | 44.81% ( 0.01) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( 0.02) | 24.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.6% ( 0.03) | 59.4% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4% 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.07% |
How you voted: Barcelona vs Benfica
