Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica0 - 1Barcelona
The Match
Match Report
10-man Barcelona snatch a crucial 1-0 victory over Benfica in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 matchup, thanks to Raphinha's wonderful second-half strike.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Barcelona.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Barcelona could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 first leg against Benfica.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole looks at Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Benfica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
53
Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Barcelona |
52.7% ( -0.1) | 22.45% ( 0.02) | 24.84% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.31% ( -0.04) | 39.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.95% ( -0.04) | 62.04% ( 0.04) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( -0.05) | 15.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.09) | 43.73% ( 0.09) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( 0.03) | 29.16% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.9% ( 0.04) | 65.1% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 52.7%
Barcelona 24.84%
Draw 22.45%
| Benfica | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 24.84% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Barcelona
Benfica
12.4%Draw
10.1%Barcelona
77.5%306
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2021 8pm
Dec 5, 2012 7.45pm
Oct 2, 2012 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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