Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.83%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 3.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 4-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-2 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
87.83% (![]() | 8.47% (![]() | 3.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.02% (![]() | 24.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.12% (![]() | 44.88% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.36% (![]() | 3.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.33% (![]() | 15.66% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.45% (![]() | 54.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.39% (![]() | 87.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
3-0 @ 12.03% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.88% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 9.97% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 3.9% Total : 87.82% | 1-1 @ 3.98% (![]() 2-2 @ 2% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 8.47% | 1-2 @ 1.21% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 1.29% Total : 3.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |