Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
0.21) 
-0.08) 
