We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan
History awaits Simone Inzaghi's Inter side, as they are proven winners when it really matters, while Milan are currently some way short of their best.
It will be seven derby wins on the spin for the Nerazzurri, whose squad depth and tactical acumen far exceeds that of their Rossoneri rivals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.