Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Parma had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | AC Milan |
35.31% ( -0.05) | 23.83% ( -0.02) | 40.87% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.86% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.74% ( 0.07) | 40.26% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.37% ( 0.07) | 62.64% ( -0.07) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( 0.01) | 22.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.63% ( 0.01) | 56.37% ( -0) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% ( 0.06) | 19.97% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.86% ( 0.09) | 52.15% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.31% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 40.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |