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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Milan logo

Parma
2 - 1
AC Milan

Man (2'), Cancellieri (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pulisic (66')
Pavlovic (34'), Emerson (88'), Loftus-Cheek (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 1-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Torino
Saturday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Parma 1-2 AC Milan

Even without Alvaro Morata, Milan boast plenty of attacking options and should score more than once at the Tardini; Parma may suffer their first Serie A defeat of the season, but they should push their illustrious visitors close. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Parma had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawAC Milan
35.31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 23.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 40.87% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 61.86% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.74% (0.07 0.07)40.26% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.37% (0.071000000000005 0.07)62.64% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)22.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)56.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (0.063000000000002 0.06)19.97% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (0.094999999999999 0.09)52.15% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Parma 35.31%
    AC Milan 40.87%
    Draw 23.83%
ParmaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.31%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 40.87%

How you voted: Parma vs AC Milan

Parma
14.2%
Draw
7.9%
AC Milan
78.0%
127
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 30
Parma
1-3
AC Milan
Gagliolo (66')
Bani (10'), Pezzella (37'), Gagliolo (38'), Kucka (64')
Rebic (8'), Kessie (44'), Leao (90+4')
Calhanoglu (24'), Hernandez (78'), Kessie (81'), Meite (90')
Ibrahimovic (60')
Dec 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
2-2
Parma
Hernandez (58', 90+1')
Hernandez (35'), Calabria (80'), Kalulu (83')
Hernani (13'), Kurtic (56')
Osorio (41'), Iacoponi (65'), Inglese (77')
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 14
Parma
0-1
AC Milan

Iacoponi (61')
Hernandez (88')
Bennacer (58'), Hernandez (89'), Donnarumma (90')
Apr 20, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 33
Parma
1-1
AC Milan
Alves (87')
Castillejo (69')
Biglia (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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