Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Parma had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | AC Milan |
35.31% ( -0.05) | 23.83% ( -0.02) | 40.87% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.86% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.74% ( 0.07) | 40.26% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.37% ( 0.07) | 62.64% ( -0.07) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( 0.01) | 22.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.63% ( 0.01) | 56.37% ( -0) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% ( 0.06) | 19.97% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.86% ( 0.09) | 52.15% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.31% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 40.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |