Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Parma had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | AC Milan |
35.31% (![]() | 23.83% (![]() | 40.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.74% (![]() | 40.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.37% (![]() | 62.64% (![]() |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% (![]() | 22.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.63% (![]() | 56.37% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% (![]() | 19.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.86% (![]() | 52.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 8.03% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.31% | 1-1 @ 10.83% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.72% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 40.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |