Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, January 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Juventus 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Estrela Amadora 0-2 Benfica
Estrela have been decent at home for most of the season, however, their form in front of their fans has taken a hit with two losses on the trot. Meanwhile, Benfica have dominated meetings between both sides, and although the visitors have suffered some setbacks on their travels lately, there is still some quality within the squad to further stretch their supremacy over the home team on Sunday as they look to close in on Sporting Lisbon at the top of the standings - therefore, we back the away team to earn a 2-0 win on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.07%) and 0-3 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Benfica |
11.02% ( 0.02) | 18.29% ( -0.07) | 70.69% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.45% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
