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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Atletico Madrid logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Atletico

Isi (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gallagher (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 RB Leipzig
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have so much quality all across the pitch, and with Simeone having the luxury of freshening his side this weekend, we are not expecting a European hangover. Rayo have enough about them to score, but we are backing the visitors to navigate their way to all three points on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
23.84% (-0.183 -0.18) 25.89% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 50.26% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 48.06% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.91% (0.011999999999993 0.01)55.08% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (0.010000000000002 0.01)76.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.157 -0.16)38.42% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (-0.15 -0.15)75.17% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.101 0.1)21.96% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (0.155 0.16)55.25% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 23.84%
    Atletico Madrid 50.26%
    Draw 25.89%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.85% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 23.84%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 12.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.69% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.9% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 50.26%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico

Rayo Vallecano
9.8%
Draw
13.1%
Atletico Madrid
77.1%
153
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Atletico
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Mandava (35'), Depay (90')
Simeone (90+2')
Garcia (42')
Perez (38'), Isi (60'), Chavarria (90+3')
Francisco (90+1')
Aug 28, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Rayo Vallecano
0-7
Atletico

Isi (39'), Lejeune (65'), Espino (81'), Balliu (88')
Griezmann (2'), Depay (16'), Molina (36'), Morata (73', 84'), Correa (79'), Llorente (86')
Barrios (49'), Griezmann (75'), Hermoso (87')
Apr 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Atletico
Garcia (85')
Molina (22'), Hermoso (24')
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
Atletico
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Morata (20')
Falcao (90+2' pen.)
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico

Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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