Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
33.78% (![]() | 27.57% (![]() | 38.65% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.21% (![]() | 56.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.28% (![]() | 77.72% (![]() |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% (![]() | 31.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% (![]() | 67.95% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% (![]() | 28.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% (![]() | 64.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.38% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 13.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.71% ( ![]() Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 11.29% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
14 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |