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Le Havre
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Lille
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Toulouse
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Ligue 1
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Toulouse

PSG
vs.
Toulouse

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-4 PSG
Saturday, November 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 0-2 Toulouse
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We say: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Toulouse

 Toulouse's win here in May was their first at the Parc des Princes since 2008, and while they also held PSG to a draw in the reverse earlier last season, repeating the feat again will be unlikely, even if the hosts do rotate heavily. Even when Enrique has shuffled the pack slightly for matches in Ligue 1, they have looked even more impressive than when their full-strength side has featured in Europe, so another win is on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw has a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toulouse has a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Toulouse win it is 0-1 (4.78%).

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
63.51% (-1.247 -1.25) 20.54% (0.731 0.73) 15.95% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-1.261 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-2.28 -2.28)43.56% (2.286 2.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-2.279 -2.28)65.95% (2.284 2.28)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.94% (-1.045 -1.05)13.06% (1.05 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.37% (-2.173 -2.17)39.63% (2.178 2.18)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.71% (-0.721 -0.72)40.29% (0.72499999999999 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09% (-0.662 -0.66)76.91% (0.667 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 63.5%
    Toulouse 15.95%
    Draw 20.54%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.64 0.64)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.4% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.266 -0.27)
4-0 @ 3.77% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.162 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.161 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 63.5%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.399 0.4)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.509 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.377 0.38)
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.17% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.95%

Who will win Friday's Ligue 1 clash between PSG and Toulouse?

Paris Saint-Germain
Draw
Toulouse
Paris Saint-Germain
93.1%
Draw
3.4%
Toulouse
3.4%
29
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
PSG
1-3
Toulouse
Mbappe (8')
Dallinga (13'), Gboho (68'), Magri (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 3, 2024 7.45pm
Final
PSG
2-0
Toulouse
Kang-in (3'), Mbappe (44')
Vitinha (46'), Hernandez (77')

Suazo (45+1')
> Match Report
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Toulouse
1-1
PSG
Aboukhlal (87' pen.)
Mbappe (62' pen.)
Kang-in (45+1'), Ugarte (81'), Donnarumma (85')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
PSG
2-1
Toulouse
Hakimi (38'), Messi (58')
Van den Boomen (20')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Toulouse
0-3
PSG

Ratao (64')
Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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