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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.75%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 3-0 (6.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
77.75% | 12.4% | 9.86% |
Both teams to score 66.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
81.87% | 18.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
64.6% | 35.4% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.18% | 3.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.7% | 16.3% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% | 31.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% | 67.39% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
3-1 @ 8.06% 2-1 @ 7.4% 3-0 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 6.33% 4-0 @ 5.63% 3-2 @ 4.71% 5-1 @ 4.3% 1-0 @ 3.88% 4-2 @ 3.85% 5-0 @ 3.68% 5-2 @ 2.52% 6-1 @ 2.34% 6-0 @ 2% 4-3 @ 1.5% 6-2 @ 1.37% 7-1 @ 1.09% 5-3 @ 0.98% 7-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.67% Total : 77.75% | 1-1 @ 4.53% 2-2 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.84% 0-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.51% Total : 12.4% | 1-2 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-1 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.1% Total : 9.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |