Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Ljubljana0 - 3Galatasaray
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-1 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Zalgiris
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Champions League
We said: NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Galatasaray
Based on their recent form and performances in the previous round, there is very little to choose between these sides despite Galatasaray being the out-and-out favourites to win the match. We fancy the Turkish side to qualify for the playoffs but feel that they will need to secure that win back at home with this one ending level. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Galatasaray |
29.36% ( 0.02) | 23.6% ( 0) | 47.04% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
