We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Ludogorets boast a strong home record heading into Wednesday's game, winning each of their last four games on Bulgarian turf by an aggregate score of 12-0, and although Olimpija Ljubljana will fancy their chances of claiming a positive away result, we believe that the hosts will come out on top to claim a first-leg advantage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.