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Ludogorets
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Ludogorets
1 - 1
Ljubljana

Yankov (44')
Naressi (73'), Fonn Witry (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elsnik (14')
Posavec (22'), Doffo (62'), Nukic (65'), Motika (90+4'), Sualehe (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and NK Olimpija Ljubljana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ludogorets 4-0 KF Ballkani
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Koper 2-1 Ljubljana
Saturday, July 22 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Ludogorets boast a strong home record heading into Wednesday's game, winning each of their last four games on Bulgarian turf by an aggregate score of 12-0, and although Olimpija Ljubljana will fancy their chances of claiming a positive away result, we believe that the hosts will come out on top to claim a first-leg advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
63.88%19.87%16.24%
Both teams to score 54.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.04%39.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.68%62.32%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.14%11.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.86%37.13%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28%37.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.5%74.49%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 63.87%
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 16.24%
    Draw 19.87%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
2-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 7.05%
4-0 @ 3.85%
4-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-0 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 63.87%
1-1 @ 9.3%
2-2 @ 4.83%
0-0 @ 4.47%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.87%
1-2 @ 4.53%
0-1 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.57%
1-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 16.24%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Ljubljana

Ludogorets Razgrad
85.5%
Draw
8.1%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
6.5%
62
rhs 2.0
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