Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 4pm UK
Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs
Valmiera1 - 2Ljubljana
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Valmiera 1-1 NK Olimpija Ljubljana (NK Olimpija Ljubljana to win 3-2 on aggregate)
Valmiera have plenty of competitive matches under their belt this year and their recent home record bodes well in their quest to turn the first-round tie around. However, a fresh and fired-up Olimpija outfit, who boast more experience at this stage of Champions League qualifying, should do enough to record at least a draw in the second leg to send them through on aggregate to the next round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valmiera | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
50.41% ( 0.05) | 24.07% ( 0) | 25.52% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% ( -0.04) | 46.37% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.34% ( -0.04) | 68.65% ( 0.04) |
Valmiera Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( 0) | 18.43% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.4% ( 0) | 49.6% ( -0) |
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.79% ( -0.06) | 32.2% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.3% ( -0.07) | 68.69% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Valmiera 50.4%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana 25.52%
Draw 24.07%
Valmiera | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.4% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.52% |
How you voted: Valmiera vs Ljubljana
Valmiera
35.7%Draw
23.8%NK Olimpija Ljubljana
40.5%42
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 14:59:04
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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