Nothing could separate these two outfits last week, and a similarly tight affair should be in store in Ljubljana, where Ludogorets should no doubt benefit from their weekend break.
The absences of Nedyalkov and Duah is not what the doctor ordered for Petev, though, and with Olimpija hotshot Fadida aiming to continue his stellar streak in front of the home crowd, we can envisage the Slovenian champions coming up trumps to progress.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana in this match.
