Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
Panathinaikos1 - 0Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-2 Dnipro-1
Tuesday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Marseille
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Panathinaikos 1-2 Marseille
Marseille have undergone a significant attacking transition this summer, and Marcelino's new forwards may take some time to gel with one another, offering Panathinaikos hope of a positive result on home soil. The Greek giants can be expected to breach the Olympiens' backline at least once, but Marseille still boast a host of players with plenty of continental nous, and the visitors should take a first-leg lead back to base. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Panathinaikos | Draw | Marseille |
33.88% ( -0.04) | 27.96% ( -0.04) | 38.16% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.79% ( 0.12) | 58.22% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.14% ( 0.1) | 78.86% ( -0.09) |
Panathinaikos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% ( 0.04) | 32.22% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% ( 0.04) | 68.72% ( -0.04) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% ( 0.11) | 29.52% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% ( 0.13) | 65.54% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Panathinaikos 33.88%
Marseille 38.16%
Draw 27.95%
Panathinaikos | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.88% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.16% |
How you voted: Panathinaikos vs Marseille
Panathinaikos
20.4%Draw
16.5%Marseille
63.1%103
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 15:41:25
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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