Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Marseille |
48.12% (![]() | 25.64% (![]() | 26.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.64% (![]() | 52.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.96% (![]() | 74.04% (![]() |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% (![]() | 21.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.05% (![]() | 54.95% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% (![]() | 34.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.44% (![]() | 71.56% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 11.55% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.3% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.12% | 1-1 @ 12.19% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |