MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 22:59:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Brest logo

Marseille
1 - 2
Brest

Mbemba (75')
Veretout (63'), Balerdi (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Magnetti (57'), Camara (81')
Chardonnet (67'), Lala (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-1 Brest

 Even with nothing but pride left to play for between now and the end of the season, a defensively-sound Brest side can frustrate a withering Marseille team, especially one that just cannot keep the back door shut in front of their own fans. However, Tudor's goal-happy charges are adept at finding ways to prevail at the Stade Velodrome and should do so again here by the narrowest of margins, although whether that will be enough to take the race for second place down to the final day remains to be seen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 71.01%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawBrest
71.01% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.96% (0.00099999999999767 0) 11.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.62% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)65.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)10.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.09%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.33% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)47.66% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)82.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 71.01%
    Brest 11.03%
    Draw 17.96%
MarseilleDrawBrest
2-0 @ 12.76%
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.22%
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 71.01%
1-1 @ 8.54%
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.96%
0-1 @ 3.86%
1-2 @ 3.16%
0-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.03%

How you voted: Marseille vs Brest

Marseille
81.8%
Draw
13.6%
Brest
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Brest
1-1
Marseille
Lees-Melou (61')
Der Zakarian (29'), Belaili (51')
Tavares (38')
Milik (17'), Gerson (57'), Rongier (65'), Guendouzi (74')
Mar 13, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 28
Brest
1-4
Marseille
Cardona (90+1')
Satriano (35')
Gerson (3'), Milik (63'), Harit (71'), Under (90+1')
Guendouzi (33'), Saliba (77'), Gueye (89'), Peres (90')
Dec 4, 2021 4pm
gameweek 17
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Gerson (29')
Kamara (61')
Faivre (53' pen.), Honorat (70')
Pierre-Gabriel (90+2'), Cardona (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
gameweek 29
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
gameweek 2
Brest
2-3
Marseille
Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille16103337191833
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1677226161028
5Lyon168442820828
6Nice1676331211027
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Auxerre166372426-221
10StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
11Reims165562121020
12Brest166192429-519
13Rennes165292223-117
14Angers164481626-1016
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
16NantesNantes163671825-715
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!