Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
for
Sunday, September 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Girona
Four French teams have already tried and failed to get the better of a goal-hungry PSG outfit, who have made a strong start to the new season and will be regarded as firm favourites to claim maximum points on Wednesday. Both sides enter this contest on the back of contrasting domestic results, and with that in mind - along with the attacking quality that PSG possess - we are backing the hosts to outscore their opponents en route to a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Girona |
64.68% ( 1.03) | 18.91% ( -0.42) | 16.4% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.98% ( 0.82) | 35.02% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.98% ( 0.91) | 57.01% ( -0.91) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% ( 0.49) | 10.21% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.48% ( 1.11) | 33.52% ( -1.12) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( -0.2) | 34.47% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.81% ( -0.21) | 71.18% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Girona |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.16% Total : 64.68% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.91% | 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.63% Total : 16.4% |
