La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla0 - 2Girona
We said: Sevilla 2-2 Girona
Sevilla will be desperate to claim their first win of Garcia Pimienta's tenure, but we think they will have to settle for a point against a Girona side who would have received a confidence boost from their commanding win over Osasuna. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Girona |
38.19% ( -0.36) | 26.09% ( -0.1) | 35.71% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% ( 0.48) | 50.63% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% ( 0.42) | 72.54% ( -0.42) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( 0.02) | 25.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.11% ( 0.03) | 60.88% ( -0.03) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.5) | 27.31% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.24% ( 0.65) | 62.76% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
Sevilla 38.19%
Girona 35.71%
Draw 26.09%
| Sevilla | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.19% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.71% |
How you voted: Sevilla vs Girona
Sevilla
32.8%Draw
36.9%Girona
30.3%122
Head to Head
May 1, 2023 8pm
Jan 14, 2023 3.15pm
