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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Lille
1 - 3
PSG

Zhegrova (78')
Alexsandro (31'), Mukau (47'), Diakite (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vitinha (33' pen.), Barcola (36'), Kolo (90+2')
Beraldo (24'), Donnarumma (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, August 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 6-0 Montpellier
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

 Even though Lille were the last team to stop PSG winning the title in France, the Parisians have certainly gotten their revenge in meetings since, especially at this venue, as the visitors won 5-1 and 7-1 in the space of six months in 2022. Having now gone 25 games without defeat on the road in Ligue 1, PSG will feel confident of extending that run despite their hosts' equally-impressive start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
31.67% (0.117 0.12) 23.98% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 44.35% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.07% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (-0.186 -0.19)42.07% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (-0.188 -0.19)64.47% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)25.65% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)60.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)19.19% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-0.246 -0.25)50.88% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Lille 31.67%
    Paris Saint-Germain 44.35%
    Draw 23.97%
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.67%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 44.35%

How you voted: Lille vs PSG

Lille
12.0%
Draw
16.2%
Paris Saint-Germain
71.8%
117
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
3-1
Lille
Ramos (10'), Alexsandro (17' og.), Kolo (80')
Ugarte (35'), Mukiele (74')
Yazici (6')
Andre (16'), Ismaily (32'), Fonseca (40'), Alexsandro (52')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Lille
1-1
PSG
David (90+4')
Diakite (66')
Mbappe (66' pen.)
Ugarte (18')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
4-3
Lille
Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
> Match Report
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-7
PSG
Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lille
1-5
PSG
Botman (28')
Celik (75'), Bradaric (83')
Pereira (10', 51'), Kimpembe (32'), Messi (38'), Mbappe (67')
Paredes (45+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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