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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Girona logo

Atletico
3 - 0
Girona

Griezmann (39'), Llorente (48'), Koke (90+4')
De Paul (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz (28'), Gazzaniga (38'), Romeu (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-2 Atletico
Monday, August 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Girona
Thursday, August 15 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Girona

It will be fascinating to see how Girona perform this season due to the increase in expectations, but this is a tricky encounter for the Catalan side. Atletico are generally strong at home, and we are backing Simeone's side to record their first victory of the new La Liga campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawGirona
46.37% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 24.58% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 29.05% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.5% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)46.12% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (-0.041 -0.04)68.42% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)19.98% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (-0.055 -0.05)52.15% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)65.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 46.37%
    Girona 29.05%
    Draw 24.57%
Atletico MadridDrawGirona
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.05%

How you voted: Atletico vs Girona

Atletico Madrid
83.1%
Draw
11.3%
Girona
5.6%
177
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 31
Atletico
3-1
Girona
Griezmann (34' pen., 50'), Correa (45+6')
Niguez (25'), Simeone (26'), Correa (35'), Llorente (90+2')
Dovbyk (4')
Herrera (32'), Couto (70')
Jan 3, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Girona
4-3
Atletico
Fernandez (2'), Savio (26'), Blind (39'), Martin (90+1')
Morata (14', 44', 54')
Hermoso (90')
Mar 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Girona
0-1
Atletico
Morata (90+1')
Oct 8, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
2-1
Girona
Correa (5', 48')
Riquelme (66')
Apr 2, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Atletico
2-0
Girona
Godin (76'), Griezmann (90')
Arias (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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