Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lille | 2 | 3 | 4 |
2 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 5 | 3 |
3 | Marseille | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Montpellier HSC | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 90.08%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 2.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.78%) and 2-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.34%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
90.08% (![]() | 7.08% | 2.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 41.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.41% (![]() | 22.59% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.3% (![]() | 41.7% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.05% (![]() | 2.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.64% (![]() | 13.35% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.05% (![]() | 56.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.99% (![]() | 89.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
3-0 @ 12.24% (![]() 4-0 @ 10.78% 2-0 @ 10.43% 5-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 6.07% 1-0 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 4.46% 5-1 @ 4.28% 6-1 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.71% 7-1 @ 1.26% 5-2 @ 1.2% 8-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.65% Total : 90.06% | 1-1 @ 3.34% 0-0 @ 1.68% 2-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.41% Total : 7.08% | 0-1 @ 0.95% 1-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 2.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |