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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Montpellier

PSG
5 - 2
Montpellier

Sacko (39' og.), Neymar (43' pen., 51'), Mbappe (69'), Sanches (87')
Kimpembe (60'), Vitinha (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Khazri (58'), Tchato Mbiayi (90+1')
Wahi (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Montpellier HSC

Losing a top talent in Mavididi is not what the doctor ordered for Montpellier before a trip to the champions, who are now in their 16th month without a Ligue 1 defeat at the Parc des Princes. Savanier and Elye Wahi can still pose a threat going forward for La Paillade, but we cannot see any other outcome than another resounding success for PSG. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 90.08%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 2.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.78%) and 2-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.34%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
90.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 7.08%2.84% (-0.00090000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 41.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.7% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)13.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)89.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 90.06%
    Montpellier HSC 2.84%
    Draw 7.08%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
3-0 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 10.78%
2-0 @ 10.43%
5-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.9%
4-1 @ 6.07%
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
6-0 @ 4.46%
5-1 @ 4.28%
6-1 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.71%
7-1 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 1.2%
8-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 90.06%
1-1 @ 3.34%
0-0 @ 1.68%
2-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 7.08%
0-1 @ 0.95%
1-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 2.84%

How you voted: PSG vs Montpellier

Paris Saint-Germain
92.3%
Draw
5.1%
Montpellier HSC
2.6%
78
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Montpellier
0-4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')
Messi (6', 20'), Di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
PSG
2-0
Montpellier
Gueye (14'), Draxler (88')

Makouana (90+1')
May 12, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
2-2
PSG
PSG win 6-5 on penalties
Laborde (45'), Delort (83')
Ferri (52'), Mollet (65'), Savanier (89')
Mbappe (10', 50')
Bakker (89'), Neymar (90')
Jan 22, 2021 8pm
PSG
4-0
Montpellier
Mbappe (34', 63'), Neymar (60'), Icardi (61')
Neymar (76'), Verratti (82')

Mendes (45+1')
Omlin (19')
Dec 5, 2020 8pm
Montpellier
1-3
PSG
Mavididi (41')
Savanier (71')
Dagba (33'), Kean (77'), Mbappe (90+1')
Kurzawa (13'), Kean (23'), Dagba (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


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