PSG5 - 2Montpellier
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lille | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Marseille | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 3 |
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Montpellier HSC
Losing a top talent in Mavididi is not what the doctor ordered for Montpellier before a trip to the champions, who are now in their 16th month without a Ligue 1 defeat at the Parc des Princes. Savanier and Elye Wahi can still pose a threat going forward for La Paillade, but we cannot see any other outcome than another resounding success for PSG. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 90.08%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 2.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.78%) and 2-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.34%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
90.08% ( -0) | 7.08% | 2.84% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 41.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.41% ( -0) | 22.59% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.3% ( 0) | 41.7% ( -0.01) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.05% ( -0) | 2.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 86.64% ( -0) | 13.35% ( -0) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.05% ( -0) | 56.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.99% ( -0) | 89.01% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 3-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 10.78% 2-0 @ 10.43% 5-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 6.07% 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0)2-1 @ 5.87% ( -0)6-0 @ 4.46% 5-1 @ 4.28% 6-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)7-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.71% 7-1 @ 1.26% 5-2 @ 1.2% 8-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.65% Total : 90.06% | 1-1 @ 3.34% 0-0 @ 1.68% 2-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.41% Total : 7.08% | 0-1 @ 0.95% 1-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 2.84% |
