MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:17:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
PSG logo

Lille
1 - 7
PSG

Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain already look rejuvenated under Galtier, who appears to be unlocking all of their stars, and, although they face their toughest test yet, we still predict a victory for Les Parisiens. Fonseca's side should cause their opponents problems, but we see the visitors outclassing them and returning to the capital with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Lille had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Lille win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
20.47% (0.381 0.38) 21.88% (0.16 0.16) 57.64% (-0.544 -0.54)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (-0.203 -0.2)42.21% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (-0.204 -0.2)64.61% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (0.26400000000001 0.26)34.4% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (0.278 0.28)71.11% (-0.28 -0.28)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)14.4% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.69% (-0.462 -0.46)42.31% (0.461 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Lille 20.47%
    Paris Saint-Germain 57.64%
    Draw 21.88%
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.29% (0.085 0.09)
2-0 @ 2.82% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.94% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 20.47%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 9.3% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.41% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 6.01% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.11% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 57.64%

How you voted: Lille vs PSG

Lille
4.8%
Draw
8.4%
Paris Saint-Germain
86.8%
167
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 7.45pm
Lille
1-5
PSG
Botman (28')
Celik (75'), Bradaric (83')
Pereira (10', 51'), Kimpembe (32'), Messi (38'), Mbappe (67')
Paredes (45+1')
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
PSG
2-1
Lille
Marquinhos (74'), Di Maria (88')
Neymar (86')
David (31')
Mandava (5'), Yilmaz (36'), Sanches (57'), Celik (63'), Grbic (85')
Aug 1, 2021 7pm
Lille
1-0
PSG
Xeka (45')
Araujo (78'), Jardim (90+2')

Kehrer (30'), Diallo (52'), Draxler (84'), Pereira (90+3')
Apr 3, 2021 4pm
PSG
0-1
Lille

Paredes (17'), Gueye (19'), Neymar (48'), Diallo (57'), Mbappe (85')
Neymar (90')
David (20')
Fonte (4'), Djalo (36'), Andre (87')
Djalo (90+1')
Mar 17, 2021 4.45pm
PSG
3-0
Lille
Icardi (9'), Mbappe (41' pen., 90+3')
Rafinha (3'), Gueye (64'), Mbappe (78')

Bradaric (18'), Djalo (40'), Xeka (44'), Ikone (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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