Emotions may still be running high for AEK Athens in the wake of Saturday's extraordinary progression, but Almeyda's men should still offer a stern test to an Antwerp team who have not completely covered themselves in glory in recent weeks.
Fatigue from a long journey to Belgium should eventually catch up to AEK, though, and Antwerp are seldom outfought on their own patch, so we can envisage the Belgian champions travelling to Athens with a slender lead to protect.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Royal Antwerp in this match.
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