Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon0 - 3Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, February 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, February 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
57
Last Game: Dortmund 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
37
We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
With both sides still adapting to recent managerial changes and struggling to string a consistent run together, Tuesday's first leg has a draw written all over it. Kovac cannot fix Dortmund's leaky defence overnight, but Gyokeres may not be firing on all cylinders after his recent injury, so we cannot see either side claiming an advantage before the return fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.82%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 22.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
55.82% ( -0.07) | 21.2% ( 0.01) | 22.98% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.31% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
