MX23RW : Monday, February 10 07:35:19| >> :120:39621:39621:
Bologna logo
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Dortmund logo

Bologna
2 - 1
Dortmund

Dallinga (71'), Iling-Junior (72')
Holm (13'), Freuler (19'), Lucumi (60'), Adeyemi (90+6'), Ferguson (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (15' pen.)
Beier (62'), Adeyemi (81'), Couto (82'), Ryerson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bologna and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 3-1 Monza
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 0-1 Borussia Dortmund

It has been a tough start for the year for Dortmund and with the pressure on their boss, we think they will grab a win that will keep Sahin in his job at least a little longer. We think that the visitors will edge a close encounter against a Bologna side that have found it difficult to score goals in the Champions League this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawBorussia Dortmund
43.62% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 25.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 31.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 55.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)47.46% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)69.68% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)21.75% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)54.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)28.57% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)64.36% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 43.62%
    Borussia Dortmund 31.26%
    Draw 25.12%
BolognaDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.62%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Bologna vs Dortmund

Bologna
24.7%
Draw
16.0%
Borussia Dortmund
59.3%
194
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!