Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.26%. A draw has a probability of 14.5% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 8.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (2.66%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
77.26% ( -4.02) | 14.5% ( 2.16) | 8.24% ( 1.86) |
Both teams to score 47.74% ( 1.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.21% ( -3.46) | 35.79% ( 3.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.13% ( -3.92) | 57.87% ( 3.92) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.43% ( -1.54) | 7.57% ( 1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.89% ( -4.13) | 27.11% ( 4.13) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.65% ( 2.35) | 48.34% ( -2.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.51% ( 1.65) | 83.48% ( -1.65) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.8) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.67) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6.77% ( -1.15) 4-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.46) 5-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.96) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.48) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.58) 6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.32) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.86% Total : 77.25% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 1.03) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.44) Other @ 0.76% Total : 14.5% | 0-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.58) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.12% Total : 8.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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