MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:16:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Nacional

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Nacional

Trincao (45+1'), Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes (90')
Debast (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Abidi (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 AVS
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional

Despite still finding their feet under new manager Borges, Sporting have shown encouraging form in the league recently, winning two of their last three matches, and this, coupled with the visitors' dismal away record, suggests a home victory is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.3%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawNacional
77.2% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 14.42% (0.011000000000001 0.01) 8.39% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.83% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)34.79% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (0.054000000000002 0.05)56.75% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.64%7.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.44% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.71% (0.1 0.1)47.29% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.3% (0.073999999999998 0.07)82.7% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 77.19%
    Nacional 8.39%
    Draw 14.42%
Sporting LisbonDrawNacional
2-0 @ 11.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.63% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 77.19%
1-1 @ 6.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 14.42%
0-1 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 2.55% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 8.39%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional

Sporting Lisbon
85.7%
Draw
10.7%
Nacional
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Nacional
Hjulmand (53'), Gyokeres (65' pen., 70')
Macedo (66')
Franca (45+2')
Aug 17, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
1-6
Sporting Lisbon
Thomas (36')
Ulisses (45+2')
Goncalves (16'), Trincao (41', 57'), Gyokeres (51' pen., 76'), Braganca (66')
Inacio (90+2')
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Nacional
Feddal (83'), Cabral (90+2' pen.)
Paulinho (31'), Braganca (53')

Ibrahim Alhassan (22'), Bessa (57'), Cesar (65'), Correia (90+1')
Ibrahim Alhassan (66')
Jan 8, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 13
Nacional
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Micael (11'), Simoes da Vinha (42'), Borges (61'), Freitas (69')
Santos (43'), Cabral (90')
Feddal (27'), Amorim (57')
Apr 19, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 30
Nacional
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Cesar (62'), Witi (89')
Phellype (62')
Acuna (7'), Gudelj (55'), Cabral (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!