Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto1 - 1Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Porto
Monday, February 3 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, February 3 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Farense
Sunday, February 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
56
We said: Porto 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
While Sporting may have been backed for success if the match were in Lisbon, Porto's undefeated run at the Dragao since last year and Gyokeres's possible absence mean the Blue and Whites should avoid losing against the table-topping side on their ground for the ninth straight time in Liga encounters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
43.95% ( -0.07) | 23.63% ( -0.01) | 32.42% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.67% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
