MX23RW : Friday, April 25 08:02:37| >> :600:366309:366309:
Sporting Lisbon
Champions League | League Stage
Sep 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Lille

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Lille

Gyokeres (38'), Debast (65')
Morita (45+1'), Debast (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomes (21'), David (40'), Andre (56'), Bouaddi (72')
Gomes (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Lille
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Lille

Sporting beat Lille twice in the Europa League group stage 14 years ago, and the clubs' first Champions League clash should go the same way. Not only have the hosts suffered just one defeat in 28 league matches, they have won each of the last 19 on home soil: backed by a passionate fanbase, they are set to start the league phase with three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Lille had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawLille
53.49% (0.157 0.16) 22.65% (-0.439 -0.44) 23.87% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 58.29% (1.846 1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (2.287 2.29)41.58% (-2.285 -2.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (2.272 2.27)63.98% (-2.271 -2.27)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.871 0.87)15.55% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (1.597 1.6)44.49% (-1.596 -1.6)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (1.491 1.49)30.98% (-1.488 -1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (1.71 1.71)67.28% (-1.708 -1.71)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 53.49%
    Lille 23.87%
    Draw 22.64%
Sporting LisbonDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.666 -0.67)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.239 0.24)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.16 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.157 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.49%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.224 0.22)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.514 -0.51)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.352 -0.35)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.87%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Lille

Sporting Lisbon
Draw
Lille
Sporting Lisbon
84.9%
Draw
9.7%
Lille
5.4%
299
rhs 2.0
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