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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Sporting Lisbon

Arouca
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon


Sylla (54'), Fontan (60'), N'Diaye (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goncalves (24'), Gyokeres (73' pen.), Trincao (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

Despite the hiatus, any other outcome but a Sporting victory will be surprising, despite the threat of the international break possibly causing a dip in momentum. Regardless, Amorim's side should dispatch a struggling Arouca to continue their perfect start to this season's title defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Arouca win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawSporting Lisbon
13.25% (0.083 0.08) 18.15% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 68.6% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.2% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.63% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)38.37% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.34% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)60.65% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.22% (0.076999999999998 0.08)40.78% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.64% (0.07 0.07)77.35% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.82% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)10.18% (0.054 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.56% (-0.125 -0.13)33.43% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 13.25%
    Sporting Lisbon 68.6%
    Draw 18.15%
AroucaDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 3.82% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.72% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.67% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 13.25%
1-1 @ 8.51% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.15% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.15%
0-2 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.71% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-4 @ 4.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 2.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.9% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 68.6%

How you voted: Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon

Arouca
7.1%
Draw
5.1%
Sporting Lisbon
87.9%
99
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 25
Arouca
0-3
Sporting Lisbon

Simao (80'), Galovic (84')
Gyokeres (19'), Catamo (90+1'), Hjulmand (90+6')
Oct 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Arouca
Gyokeres (31'), Morita (68')
Diomande (29'), Edwards (45+2'), Quaresma (62')
Diomande (42')
Mujica (52')
Mujica (29'), Cristo (58'), Weverson (60'), Fernandes (64'), De Arruabarrena (74'), Santos (90+3')
Fernandes (87')
Apr 16, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Arouca
Goncalves (87' pen.)
Antony (38')
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Dabbagh (58')
Paulinho (45+7', 82')
Oct 29, 2022 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon88002722524
2Porto87011841421
3Benfica75111751216
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara8503119215
5Braga8422136714
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes842298114
7FamalicaoFamalicao834194513
8MoreirenseMoreirense83231011-111
9Gil Vicente82421012-210
10AVS8233711-49
11Casa Pia8224611-58
12Rio AveRio Ave8224613-78
13AroucaArouca8215413-97
14BoavistaBoavista8134510-56
15Estoril PraiaEstoril8134411-76
16Estrela Amadora8125513-85
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense8116313-104


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