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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Bristol City

Blackburn
2 - 1
Bristol City

Sigurdsson (35'), Wharton (52')
Carter (22'), Brittain (85'), Szmodics (88'), Travis (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sykes (60')
Knight (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Bristol City

Blackburn were taught a lesson of ruthlessness by Farke's Leeds on the weekend, and we feel that Rovers could put their learnings into practice against Bristol City. The Robins have failed to see a drastic improvement results-wise since the appointment of Manning, so we are expecting a loss for the visitors at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
42.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.45% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 31.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.98% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.73% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.84% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)22.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.032000000000011 0.03)28.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)64.84% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.92%
    Bristol City 31.62%
    Draw 25.45%
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.62%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers
81.8%
Draw
6.1%
Bristol City
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Blackburn
2-3
Bristol City
Dolan (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+3')
Wharton (7'), Pickering (67')
Conway (42'), Wells (55', 73')
James (57'), Scott (58')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Blackburn
0-1
Bristol City

Khadra (49')
Weimann (90+2')
Scott (26'), Bentley (87'), Weimann (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Bristol City
1-1
Blackburn
O'Dowda (34')
Williams (71'), Massengo (74')
Brereton Diaz (75')
Nyambe (33'), Rothwell (82')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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