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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Bristol City |
42.92% ( -0.02) | 25.45% ( -0.01) | 31.62% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.98% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.27% ( 0.04) | 48.73% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.16% ( 0.03) | 70.84% ( -0.04) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( 0.01) | 22.62% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% ( 0.01) | 56.24% ( -0.02) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.03) | 28.95% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.16% ( 0.04) | 64.84% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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