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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Leeds logo

Blackburn
0 - 2
Leeds


Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Leeds United

This has the makings of an intriguing contest with Blackburn seemingly capable of beating and losing to every team in this division. Nevertheless, we feel that Leed's superior quality should just win out, potentially with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
38.76% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 23.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 37.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.022999999999996 0.02)40% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.36% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)20.84% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.032999999999994 0.03)53.53% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 38.76%
    Leeds United 37.42%
    Draw 23.82%
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 37.42%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Leeds

Blackburn Rovers
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Leeds United
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Leeds
3-2
Blackburn
Williams (33' og.), Roofe (91', 94')
Douglas (77'), Phillips (89')
Mulgrew (47' pen., 90')
Rodwell (44'), Lenihan (85')
Oct 20, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 13
Blackburn
2-1
Leeds
Graham (2'), Lenihan (70')
Smallwood (47'), Evans (86'), Rodwell (87')
Klich (45')
Roofe (68'), Klich (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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