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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
3 - 2
Middlesbrough

Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Bristol City
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough

This has all the makings of an intriguing contest, the assumption being that Middlesbrough will prevail and perhaps undermining the impact that Manning could have had over the past two weeks. We still think Boro will win, but in a close game that is decided by a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
29.64% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 24.33% (0.0010000000000012 0) 46.03% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)44.69% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)67.05% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)28.26% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)63.97% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.55% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02)51.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 29.64%
    Middlesbrough 46.03%
    Draw 24.33%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.64%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.03%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
18.2%
Draw
27.3%
Middlesbrough
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Bristol City
2-1
Middlesbrough
Weimann (7'), Semenyo (68')
Williams (9'), Scott (40')
Crooks (90')
Crooks (17')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
2-1
Bristol City
Ikpeazu (38'), Crooks (70')
King (60')
Atkinson (24')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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