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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
29.64% ( -0.07) | 24.33% ( 0) | 46.03% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.32% ( -0.03) | 44.69% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( -0.03) | 67.05% ( 0.03) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% ( -0.06) | 28.26% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% ( -0.07) | 63.97% ( 0.08) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.46% ( 0.02) | 19.55% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% ( 0.02) | 51.45% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.08% Total : 46.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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