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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
29.64% ( -0.07) | 24.33% ( 0) | 46.03% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.32% ( -0.03) | 44.69% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( -0.03) | 67.05% ( 0.03) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% ( -0.06) | 28.26% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% ( -0.07) | 63.97% ( 0.08) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.46% ( 0.02) | 19.55% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% ( 0.02) | 51.45% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.08% Total : 46.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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