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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
3 - 2
Middlesbrough

Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Bristol City
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough

This has all the makings of an intriguing contest, the assumption being that Middlesbrough will prevail and perhaps undermining the impact that Manning could have had over the past two weeks. We still think Boro will win, but in a close game that is decided by a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
29.64% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 24.33% (0.0010000000000012 0) 46.03% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)44.69% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)67.05% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)28.26% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)63.97% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.55% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02)51.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 29.64%
    Middlesbrough 46.03%
    Draw 24.33%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.64%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.03%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
18.2%
Draw
27.3%
Middlesbrough
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Bristol City
2-1
Middlesbrough
Weimann (7'), Semenyo (68')
Williams (9'), Scott (40')
Crooks (90')
Crooks (17')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
2-1
Bristol City
Ikpeazu (38'), Crooks (70')
King (60')
Atkinson (24')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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