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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Burnley logo

Blackburn
0 - 1
Burnley


Batth (31'), Hyam (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flemming (60')
Laurent (41'), Cullen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Stoke
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Burnley

Burnley have proven to be a tough team to beat, having avoided defeat in each of their last 12 Championship matches. We think that they will continue that run by claiming a narrow victory in Saturday's derby, especially as they have won each of their last four away matches against Rovers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBurnley
33.08% (-0.675 -0.68) 27.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 39.27% (0.661 0.66)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)57.19% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95% (-0.119 -0.12)78.04% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.529 -0.53)32.24% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.603 -0.6)68.73% (0.599 0.6)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.31100000000001 0.31)28.38% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.39 0.39)64.12% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 33.07%
    Burnley 39.27%
    Draw 27.64%
Blackburn RoversDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39.27%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Burnley

Blackburn Rovers
31.0%
Draw
15.5%
Burnley
53.5%
71
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Burnley
1-1
Blackburn
Foster (10')
Mejbri (42'), Foster (77'), Pears (90+5')
Weimann (23')
Gueye (31'), Travis (34'), Brittain (49'), Carter (53'), Hedges (66'), Koleosho (67'), Egan Riley (90+6')
Gueye (57')
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Nov 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
3-0
Blackburn
Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Blackburn
0-2
Burnley

Bennett (89')
Cork (27'), Brady (45')
Bardsley (55'), Long (64')
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Blackburn
Gray (15' pen.)
Lowton (63'), Ulvestad (92')

Gomez (13'), Lenihan (52'), Bennett (91'), Watt (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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