MX23RW : Friday, January 24 09:54:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Stoke logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Stoke


Anthony (90+5')
Mejbri (87')
FT

Moran (13'), Gooch (76'), Tchamadeu (84'), Gallagher (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
Sunday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Sunderland
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-1 Stoke City

Given Burnley have not been particularly strong in front of goal, it would not be surprising if Wednesday's match was low scoring. However, it is difficult to overlook the hosts' strong form of late, and while Stoke did win last time out, they should come into their clash at Turf Moor as second favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawStoke City
52.95% (0.492 0.49) 24.03% (-0.138 -0.14) 23.02% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (0.23699999999999 0.24)48.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.216 0.22)70.64% (-0.211 -0.21)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.28200000000001 0.28)18.27% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (0.472 0.47)49.33% (-0.467 -0.47)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.185 -0.19)35.53% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.192 -0.19)72.29% (0.197 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 52.95%
    Stoke City 23.02%
    Draw 24.02%
BurnleyDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.02%

How you voted: Burnley vs Stoke

Burnley
86.9%
Draw
8.3%
Stoke City
4.8%
84
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stoke
0-2
Burnley

Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')
Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
0-1
Burnley
Cullen (61')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-1
Stoke
Roberts (54')
Clarke (87')
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
Stoke
1-1
Burnley
Ndiaye (11')
Pieters (85'), Ndiaye (91')
Barnes (62')
Barnes (25')
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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