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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw has a probability of 24.5% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (7.03%).
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
51.64% ( 1.73) | 24.46% ( -0.55) | 23.89% ( -1.18) |
Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.54% ( 1.24) | 49.45% ( -1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.51% ( 1.11) | 71.49% ( -1.11) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.86% ( 1.19) | 19.13% ( -1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.22% ( 1.93) | 50.77% ( -1.93) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.74% ( -0.35) | 35.25% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.99% ( -0.36) | 72.01% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.64% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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