MX23RW : Monday, March 10 14:22:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Stoke logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Stoke


Anthony (90+5')
Mejbri (87')
FT

Moran (13'), Gooch (76'), Tchamadeu (84'), Gallagher (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
Sunday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Sunderland
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-1 Stoke City

Given Burnley have not been particularly strong in front of goal, it would not be surprising if Wednesday's match was low scoring. However, it is difficult to overlook the hosts' strong form of late, and while Stoke did win last time out, they should come into their clash at Turf Moor as second favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawStoke City
52.95% (0.492 0.49) 24.03% (-0.138 -0.14) 23.02% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (0.23699999999999 0.24)48.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.216 0.22)70.64% (-0.211 -0.21)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.28200000000001 0.28)18.27% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (0.472 0.47)49.33% (-0.467 -0.47)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.185 -0.19)35.53% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.192 -0.19)72.29% (0.197 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 52.95%
    Stoke City 23.02%
    Draw 24.02%
BurnleyDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.02%

How you voted: Burnley vs Stoke

Burnley
86.9%
Draw
8.3%
Stoke City
4.8%
84
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stoke
0-2
Burnley

Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')
Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
0-1
Burnley
Cullen (61')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-1
Stoke
Roberts (54')
Clarke (87')
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
Stoke
1-1
Burnley
Ndiaye (11')
Pieters (85'), Ndiaye (91')
Barnes (62')
Barnes (25')
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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