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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Burnley logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Burnley


Edmundson (2')
FT

Cullen (54'), Roberts (83'), Koleosho (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-3 Sheff Weds
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-2 Burnley
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Burnley

Burnley had to be content with a point when the two sides face off earlier this month, and while they may have won their last three matches, we think that the Clarets may have to settle for another draw when they face a Boro side that have seen three of their previous five matches finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBurnley
46.56% (-0.326 -0.33) 26.27% (0.11 0.11) 27.17% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (-0.294 -0.29)54.18% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (-0.248 -0.25)75.59% (0.25 0.25)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.276 -0.28)23.25% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.406 -0.41)57.16% (0.409 0.41)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)35.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21% (0.018999999999998 0.02)71.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 46.56%
    Burnley 27.17%
    Draw 26.27%
MiddlesbroughDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.56%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.17%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Burnley

Middlesbrough
35.9%
Draw
25.6%
Burnley
38.5%
78
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Burnley
1-1
Middlesbrough
Roberts (37')
Mejbri (90+3')
Dijksteel (13')
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-2
Burnley
Akpom (48' pen.)
Barnes (12'), Roberts (66')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burnley
3-1
Middlesbrough
Benson (60', 67'), Howson (72' og.)
Watmore (49')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Burnley
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gray (80')
Boyd (21'), Mee (42'), Flanagan (54'), Ward (66'), Gray (73'), Hendrick (85')

de Roon (2'), Ramirez (31'), Barragan (45'), Da Silva (80'), Negredo (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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