Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 25.63% and a draw has a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.87%).