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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Burnley logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Burnley

Cordoba (2')
Doyle (46'), Crnac (53'), Sainz (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Flemming (68'), Brownhill (76')
Trafford (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 0-1 Burnley

Burnley have been superb defensively this season, which gives them a great advantage in most matches that they play in. With Norwich having a strong attack, they will certainly test the visitors this weekend, but we think that the Clarets will keep another clean sheet in a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
45.57% (1.056 1.06) 25.22% (0.199 0.2) 29.21% (-1.252 -1.25)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-1.38 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (-1.477 -1.48)48.82% (1.48 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (-1.355 -1.36)70.92% (1.357 1.36)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (-0.139 -0.14)21.43% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (-0.217 -0.22)54.45% (0.22 0.22)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (-1.627 -1.63)30.67% (1.63 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (-1.968 -1.97)66.91% (1.971 1.97)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.57%
    Burnley 29.21%
    Draw 25.22%
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.557 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.4 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 4% (0.189 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.21%

How you voted: Norwich vs Burnley

Norwich City
37.1%
Draw
22.9%
Burnley
40.0%
70
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 30
Norwich
0-3
Burnley
Zaroury (8'), Vitinho (54'), Ekdal (60')
Oct 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Burnley
1-0
Norwich
Rodriguez (82' pen.)
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Norwich
2-0
Burnley
Lees-Melou (9'), Pukki (86')
Lees-Melou (26')

Taylor (78')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Burnley
0-0
Norwich
Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')
Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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