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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Burnley logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Burnley

Cordoba (2')
Doyle (46'), Crnac (53'), Sainz (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Flemming (68'), Brownhill (76')
Trafford (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 0-1 Burnley

Burnley have been superb defensively this season, which gives them a great advantage in most matches that they play in. With Norwich having a strong attack, they will certainly test the visitors this weekend, but we think that the Clarets will keep another clean sheet in a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
45.57% (1.056 1.06) 25.22% (0.199 0.2) 29.21% (-1.252 -1.25)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-1.38 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (-1.477 -1.48)48.82% (1.48 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (-1.355 -1.36)70.92% (1.357 1.36)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (-0.139 -0.14)21.43% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (-0.217 -0.22)54.45% (0.22 0.22)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (-1.627 -1.63)30.67% (1.63 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (-1.968 -1.97)66.91% (1.971 1.97)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.57%
    Burnley 29.21%
    Draw 25.22%
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.557 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.4 0.4)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 4% (0.189 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.21%

How you voted: Norwich vs Burnley

Norwich City
37.1%
Draw
22.9%
Burnley
40.0%
70
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 30
Norwich
0-3
Burnley
Zaroury (8'), Vitinho (54'), Ekdal (60')
Oct 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Burnley
1-0
Norwich
Rodriguez (82' pen.)
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Norwich
2-0
Burnley
Lees-Melou (9'), Pukki (86')
Lees-Melou (26')

Taylor (78')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Burnley
0-0
Norwich
Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')
Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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