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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
45.57% ( 1.06) | 25.22% ( 0.2) | 29.21% ( -1.25) |
Both teams to score 54.47% ( -1.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.18% ( -1.48) | 48.82% ( 1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.08% ( -1.36) | 70.92% ( 1.36) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.57% ( -0.14) | 21.43% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.56% ( -0.22) | 54.45% ( 0.22) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( -1.63) | 30.67% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% ( -1.97) | 66.91% ( 1.97) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
10 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Portsmouth | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
22 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 21 |
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