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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
26.87% (![]() | 25.95% (![]() | 47.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.85% (![]() | 53.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.28% (![]() | 74.71% (![]() |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.28% (![]() | 34.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.55% (![]() | 71.45% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.47% (![]() | 22.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% (![]() | 56.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 8.27% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.87% | 1-1 @ 12.33% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 11.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 39 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 83 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 81 |
3 | Burnley | 39 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 42 | 81 |
4 | Sunderland | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 19 | 72 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 59 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 39 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 57 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 57 |
8 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 57 |
9 | Watford | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 53 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 52 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 52 |
13 | Millwall | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 51 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 45 |
16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 45 |
17 | Portsmouth | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 42 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 42 |
20 | Hull City | 39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 41 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 40 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 38 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 34 |
> Championship Full Table |