Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 2
Stoke

Wells (33')
Weimann (76'), Semenyo (89'), Pring (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61'), Bonham (83'), Powell (84'), Campbell (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Rotherham 1-3 Bristol City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Stoke City

Given the level of inconsistency which has plagued each side this campaign, this is an extremely difficult match to call. Feel free to accuse us of sitting on the fence, but we can only predict a low-scoring draw, one which would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Stoke City
35.73% ( -1.61)	27.84% ( -0.18)	36.43% ( 1.79)

Both teams to score 48.28% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.35% (

0.74)

57.65% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.58% (

0.58)

78.41% (

-0.58)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

-0.63)

30.73% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33% (

-0.75)

66.99% (

0.75)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7% (

1.51)

30.29% (

-1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

1.77)

66.47% (

-1.77)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 35.72%

Stoke City 36.42%

Draw 27.83%

Bristol City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.72%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.42%