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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Stoke

Wells (33')
Weimann (76'), Semenyo (89'), Pring (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61'), Bonham (83'), Powell (84'), Campbell (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-3 Bristol City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Stoke City

Given the level of inconsistency which has plagued each side this campaign, this is an extremely difficult match to call. Feel free to accuse us of sitting on the fence, but we can only predict a low-scoring draw, one which would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
35.73% (-1.61 -1.61) 27.84% (-0.183 -0.18) 36.43% (1.791 1.79)
Both teams to score 48.28% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (0.739 0.74)57.65% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58% (0.581 0.58)78.41% (-0.583 -0.58)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.631 -0.63)30.73% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-0.75 -0.75)66.99% (0.747 0.75)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (1.513 1.51)30.29% (-1.517 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (1.772 1.77)66.47% (-1.774 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 35.72%
    Stoke City 36.42%
    Draw 27.83%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.357 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.239 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.245 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.111 0.11)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.42%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Stoke

Bristol City
60.4%
Draw
29.2%
Stoke City
10.4%
48
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Jul 15, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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