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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Stoke

Wells (33')
Weimann (76'), Semenyo (89'), Pring (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61'), Bonham (83'), Powell (84'), Campbell (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-3 Bristol City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Stoke City

Given the level of inconsistency which has plagued each side this campaign, this is an extremely difficult match to call. Feel free to accuse us of sitting on the fence, but we can only predict a low-scoring draw, one which would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
35.73% (-1.61 -1.61) 27.84% (-0.183 -0.18) 36.43% (1.791 1.79)
Both teams to score 48.28% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (0.739 0.74)57.65% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58% (0.581 0.58)78.41% (-0.583 -0.58)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.631 -0.63)30.73% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-0.75 -0.75)66.99% (0.747 0.75)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (1.513 1.51)30.29% (-1.517 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (1.772 1.77)66.47% (-1.774 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 35.72%
    Stoke City 36.42%
    Draw 27.83%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.357 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.239 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.245 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.111 0.11)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.42%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Stoke

Bristol City
60.4%
Draw
29.2%
Stoke City
10.4%
48
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Jul 15, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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