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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Burnley logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Burnley


McNally (22'), Twine (90+8'), Dickie (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anthony (23')
Esteve (67'), Mejbri (69'), Trafford (70'), Pires (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Bristol City
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, November 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Burnley

With both teams having posted crucial wins in their own right last time out, they will be confident of building on it at Ashton Gate. However, we are backing Burnley to edge this contest, Parker knowing that his side have to change something up in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
41.23% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 28.04% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 30.73% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.69% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.83% (0.125 0.13)59.17% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.4% (0.099 0.1)79.6% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (0.10799999999999 0.11)28.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (0.13500000000001 0.14)63.93% (-0.133 -0.13)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.033000000000001 0.03)34.95% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.22%
    Burnley 30.73%
    Draw 28.04%
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 41.22%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Burnley

Bristol City
25.4%
Draw
20.6%
Burnley
54.0%
63
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
1-2
Burnley
Conway (60')
Benson (33'), Rodriguez (62')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Burnley
2-1
Bristol City
Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Wells (27')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Fourth Round
Burnley
2-0
Bristol City
Vokes (45'), Defour (68')
Tarkowski (67'), Darikwa (92')
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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