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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Swansea logo

Burnley
1 - 0
Swansea

Rodriguez (90+4' pen.)
Cullen (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira Martins (61'), Cullen (86'), Cabango (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Burnley and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Burnley
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Watford
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-1 Swansea City

This has all the makings of a competitive fixture now that Swansea have found some form at the same time as Burnley have lost their way. Nevertheless, Parker is aware that he must change something to instigate a turnaround, which may lead to a late victory at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
BurnleyDrawSwansea City
49.59% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.43% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.78% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)50.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52%32.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 49.59%
    Swansea City 25.97%
    Draw 24.43%
BurnleyDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Burnley vs Swansea

Burnley
63.0%
Draw
15.2%
Swansea City
21.7%
46
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swansea
1-2
Burnley
Cooper (27')
Maatsen (13', 22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burnley
4-0
Swansea
Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swansea
3-2
Burnley
Llorente (13', 92'), Olsson (70')
Fer (57'), Cork (85')
Gray (20' pen., 61')
Ward (9'), Mee (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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