MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:51:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
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Millwall
1 - 0
Burnley

Cooper (52')
Cooper (21'), Bryan (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sarmiento (88'), Mejbri (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

Burnley

All competitions
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 QPR
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Burnley

 This could prove to be one of the more competitive games of the weekend, Millwall having shown that they could emerge as surprise promotion contenders through the playoffs. However, Burnley are difficult to beat regardless of whether they are playing home or away, and we are backing the Clarets to come through by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBurnley
44.89% (-0.354 -0.35) 27.66% (0.205 0.2) 27.45% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.467 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.91% (-0.643 -0.64)59.09% (0.643 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.46% (-0.502 -0.5)79.54% (0.499 0.5)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.473 -0.47)26.24% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.637 -0.64)61.34% (0.636 0.64)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (-0.233 -0.23)37.48% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.74% (-0.228 -0.23)74.26% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 44.89%
    Burnley 27.45%
    Draw 27.65%
MillwallDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.89%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Burnley

Millwall
24.8%
Draw
30.5%
Burnley
44.8%
105
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Millwall
1-1
Burnley
Bradshaw (85')
Barnes (51')
> Preview
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Burnley
2-0
Millwall
Vitinho (62'), Rodriguez (72')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2020 7pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Burnley
Brownhill (45'), Vydra (90+3')
Brownhill (53'), Thomas (56'), Westwood (78')
> Match Report
Feb 8, 2014 3pm
Burnley
3-1
Millwall
> Match Report
Nov 2, 2013 3pm
Millwall
2-2
Burnley
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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