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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Burnley logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Burnley

Conway (60')
Weimann (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benson (33'), Rodriguez (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Burnley

Despite being crowned champions in midweek, Burnley remain motivated to reach three figures. However, few teams have gotten the better of Bristol City at their home ground of late, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
26.56% (0.221 0.22) 25.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 48.41% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (0.174 0.17)49.62% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.154 0.15)71.64% (-0.151 -0.15)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (0.27 0.27)33.1% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (0.298 0.3)69.69% (-0.294 -0.29)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)20.53% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)53.03% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 26.56%
    Burnley 48.4%
    Draw 25.02%
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 26.56%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 10.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.4%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Burnley

Bristol City
25.0%
Draw
20.8%
Burnley
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Burnley
2-1
Bristol City
Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Wells (27')
Scott (32')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Fourth Round
Burnley
2-0
Bristol City
Vokes (45'), Defour (68')
Tarkowski (67'), Darikwa (92')
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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