Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 2
Burnley

Conway (60')
Weimann (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Benson (33'), Rodriguez (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Burnley

Despite being crowned champions in midweek, Burnley remain motivated to reach three figures. However, few teams have gotten the better of Bristol City at their home ground of late, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Burnley
26.56% ( 0.22)	25.03% ( -0)	48.41% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 53.17% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.37% (

0.17)

49.62% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.35% (

0.15)

71.64% (

-0.15)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.9% (

0.27)

33.1% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.31% (

0.3)

69.69% (

-0.29)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

-0.02)

20.53% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

-0.03)

53.03% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 26.56%

Burnley 48.4%

Draw 25.02%

Bristol City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.56%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.4%