Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.