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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol City
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Armstrong (57'), Wells (75' pen.)
Williams (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (28')
El Mizouni (11'), Moore (66'), Vaulks (74'), Brown (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Oxford United

Many will feel that Oxford make the trip to Ashton Gate as the favourites to come out on top given their superior start. Nevertheless, we are backing Bristol City to earn a share of the spoils, even if that will not go down well with their supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
55.54% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.35%21.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.76% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 55.54%
    Oxford United 21.1%
    Draw 23.35%
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 0.91%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 55.54%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.1%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Oxford Utd

Bristol City
38.3%
Draw
23.4%
Oxford United
38.3%
47
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-1
Oxford Utd
Cornick (15'), Knight (35', 47'), Wells (51'), Naismith (62')
Dickie (55'), Roberts (90+7')
Bodin (30')
Brown (45+4'), Murphy (70'), Rodrigues (89')
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Bristol City
4-1
Oxford Utd
Conway (13', 54'), Weimann (27'), Knight (49')
O'Donkor (15')
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol City
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bryan (2')
Bryan (22'), El-Abd (70')
Morris (55'), Hylton (87')
Collins (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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