Bristol City5 - 1Oxford Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
We said: Bristol City 2-1 Oxford United
Pearson will make changes for this contest in a bid to assess his squad depth ahead of the end of the transfer window. That should give the visitors an opportunity to cause a surprise, but we feel that the Robins have enough quality at their disposal to secure the win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Oxford United |
39.49% ( -0.56) | 25.83% ( 0.16) | 34.67% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.37% ( -0.66) | 49.62% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.35% ( -0.59) | 71.64% ( 0.59) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.26% ( -0.59) | 24.74% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.7% ( -0.83) | 59.29% ( 0.82) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( -0.08) | 27.46% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.04% ( -0.1) | 62.95% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.67% |
How you voted: Bristol City vs Oxford Utd
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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