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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Bristol City |
41.14% ( -1.49) | 27.22% ( 0.59) | 31.64% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 49.42% ( -1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.11% ( -1.99) | 55.88% ( 1.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23% ( -1.65) | 76.99% ( 1.64) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% ( -1.7) | 26.72% ( 1.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% ( -2.29) | 61.99% ( 2.28) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( -0.39) | 32.55% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -0.44) | 69.09% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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