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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Millwall |
44.97% ( -0.72) | 28.52% ( 0.23) | 26.51% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 43.26% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.6% ( -0.47) | 62.4% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.97% ( -0.35) | 82.03% ( 0.35) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -0.6) | 27.75% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( -0.78) | 63.32% ( 0.78) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.88% ( 0.17) | 40.12% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.24% ( 0.15) | 76.76% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.69% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.51% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 26.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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